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15

Nov

2008

Bear Market Yo-Yo

Markets continue to stay volatile into decaying fundamentals.  We continue to favor trading the range as markets continue it's grinding decline to 2002 lows.  Overall, I favor very short term trades to take advantage of intraday volatility.

Weekly trends remain bearish and nothing to get excited about longer term.  Buy and hold is dead.

 

21

Oct

2008

JP Morgan picks 16 stocks to beat market turmoil
J.P. Morgan analysts recommended 16 stocks, including 3M Co (NYSE:MMM - News), Google Inc (NasdaqGS:GOOG - News), McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD - News), Merck & Co (NYSE:MRK - News), and Visa Inc (NYSE:V - News), that they believe will be able to outperform a weakening global economy over the next 12 to 18 months.

Shares of companies that possess substantial financial resources, a profitable business model, and rank high in terms of cash return to shareholders are featured on the select group, collectively called "The Franchise 16," the analysts said in a note titled "Stocks to Own Beyond the Market Turmoil."

The 16 stocks, all rated "overweight," are:

3M Co (NYSE:MMM - News)

Baxter International Inc (NYSE:BAX - News)

Colgate-Palmolive Co (NYSE:CL - News)

CA Inc (NYSE:CA - News)

Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:DVN - News)

General Mills Inc (NYSE:GIS - News)

Gilead Sciences Inc (NasdaqGS:GILD - News)

Google Inc (NasdaqGS:GOOG - News)

Hewlett-Packard Co (NYSE:HPQ - News)

McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD - News)

Merck & Co Inc (NYSE:MRK - News)

Monsanto Co (NYSE:MON - News)

Nucor Corp (NYSE:NUE - News)

Philip Morris International (NYSE:PM - News)

Union Pacific Corp (NYSE:UNP - News)

Visa Inc (NYSE:V - News)

 

10

Oct

2008

Time to Go Long?

Beginning of September we warned that the seasonal trade was on.  We expected a bearish September and a potential bottom in October.

After reading headline news and cover of TIME, VIX 60+ readings, I am starting think risk/reward is beginning to be favorable on the long side.  TIME historically has been a great contrarian signal.  With that said, we are looking to go long with potential rally into December.  If we take out 2002 lows, then we may be entering the new Great Depression.

 

 

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